Presidential Betting Odds Favor Former Prez As Trump Vs. Harris Hits Home Stretch

The 2024 US Election to select the 47th President of the United States is going down to the wire, with both candidates making a final push on why they deserve your vote. Polls indicate that the election will once again come down to the traditional swing states—Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada, and North Carolina—where former President Donald Trump currently leads Vice President Kamala Harris. Not only is Trump leading in the swing state polls, but he is also leading Harris in the US Presidential election betting odds, according to sportsbooks such as BetUS, one of the very few companies offering 2024 election odds.

With early voting already underway, October will make or break the presidential hopes of both Trump and Harris as we barrel toward the November 5th election. Currently, the implied odds give the former president a 64.29% chance of winning the election, while Harris’ odds of an upset are at 39.22%

Both candidates have been on a media blitz since the debate, with Trump coming off a highly touted Fox News taped town hall with the Spanish-language network Univision in Miami and a high-dollar fundraiser at Mar-a-Lago. Trump also received a boost from a huge endorsement from Tesla and X CEO Elon Musk, who reportedly funded a pro-Trump PAC to the tune of $75 million over the last few months.

Harris, who has been criticized for not doing enough interviews, has been on a media blitz with high-profile sit-downs with Howard Stern, Charlamagne tha God, and the Call Her Daddy podcast before this week’s interview with Fox News's Bret Baier.

In the 2020 election, Pennsylvania played a key role in helping Joe Biden secure the presidency and rebuild the “blue wall." Historically, Democratic candidates have had significant success in the state until Donald Trump's win in 2016. Biden’s Pennsylvania victory in 2020 was tightly contested, decided by just 1.2 percentage points. As the swing state with the highest electoral votes, Pennsylvania remains crucial in elections, and this year that is no different, with both sides making it the most visited state for campaign stops than any other.

That’s not all. Election dollars are flooding Pennsylvania, with nearly 25% of all ad spending from both campaigns in the first three weeks of September being spent in the state. Recent surveys have found the overall race in Pennsylvania to be within the margin of error for polls. A survey from the highly respected Quinnipiac University this month found Harris up three percentage points, a Philadelphia Inquirer/New York Times/Siena College survey found her up 4 points, and The Wall Street Journal has Trump up 1 point.

If Trump wins the election, it would mark a historic return to the White House, as he would be the first president in over 100 years to serve two non-consecutive terms. If he loses, he will be the first one-term US President since Jimmy Carter.

Speaking of former President Carter, he was able to cast his mail ballot for Vice President Kamala Harris weeks after turning 100, making him the oldest living US President. Even though he has been in hospice care since February 2023, he previously told his son, Chip Carter, that he was hoping to live long enough to vote for Harris, who is the first woman, first Black, and first Asian American to hold the VP office. If elected president, she would make history again as the first woman and the first president of mixed Asian and African descent.

Both Trump and Harris are lining up for a strong finish before November 5th. Earlier this month, Trump announced he would hold a rally at Madison Square Garden, in the heart of Manhattan, on October 27th. The Garden, which is the home of the New York Knicks and New York Rangers, hosted the Republican National Convention in 2004 and the Democratic National Convention in 1924, 1976, 1980, and 1992.

The Harris campaign has upcoming stops scheduled for several swing states starting with Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. Both candidates are also rumored to be appearing on the Joe Rogan podcast, which boasts 14.5 million Spotify followers. In 2020 Rogan endorsed Bernie Sanders but has since platformed far-right guests like the conspiracist Alex Jones on his show.

Previously Rogan has rejected Trump’s multiple requests to appear on his show. Rogan said he was “not a Trump supporter in any way, shape, or form.” Rogan specified he would not let Trump, a man he called an “existential threat to democracy itself,” on his show because he was “not interested in helping him.”

Regardless of where they're hitting the campaign trail, Harris and Trump will spend the weeks leading up to Election Day making their final pitches to voters across the country, outlining how they'd approach issues ranging from inflation to the southern border and abortion rights.